Behavioural Biases Scale for Retail Investors' Trading Behaviour

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51867/ajernet.5.4.168

Resumo

The purpose of this paper was to describe the development of a survey instrument designed to directly measure the effects of the underlying psychological constructs on the behaviour of retail-investors engaging in stock trading at the Dar es Salaam stock exchange. The paper adopts a survey research approach to outline the process of developing, validating and testing as survey instrument to help researchers better understand how retail investors make decisions when trading stocks. This study is guided by six behavioural theories, namely availability bias, representativeness bias, overconfidence bias, ambiguity aversion, regret aversion, and loss aversion. Empirical data for these variables were collected through a questionnaire administered to a sample of 280 respondents. Convenience and snowball sampling techniques were employed to recruit participants. To ensure reliability, the study employed the Cronbach’s alpha (α) coefficient, while Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was performed to assess the construct validity of various behavioural biases. The results indicate that the final survey instrument comprises 49 items developed from eight behavioural constructs, organised into seventeen scales, all of which demonstrate acceptable levels of content validity, reliability and construct validity. The paper concludes that the developed instrument is valuable for both academic and practitioner communities, particularly interested in studying trading behaviour of retail stock investors. The primary contribution of this study is the development of a reliable instrument for measuring retail investor trading behaviour in frontier markets. Therefore, the study recommends that researchers, professionals, policy makers and other stakeholders to utilise these constructs in future investigations of investors trading behaviour and into educational programmes to mitigate the negative impacts of biases on decision-making. 

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.

Referências

Baker, K. H., & Nofsinger, J. R. (2002). Psychological biases of investors. Financial Services Review, 11(2), 97-116.

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2000). Trading is hazardous to your wealth: The common stock investment performance of individual investors. The Journal of Finance, 55(2), 773-806.

https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00226 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00226

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355301556400 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/003355301556400

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2008). All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors. Review of Financial Studies, 21, 785-818.

https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm079 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm079

Barber, B. M., Lee, Y. T., Liu, Y. J., & Odean, T. (2005). Do day traders make money? University of California, Berkeley, Working Paper.

Barberis, N., & Thaler, R. H. (2003). A survey of behavioral finance. In G. M. Constantinides, M. Harris, & R. Stulz (Eds.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance. Elsevier Science B.V.

Benartzi, S. (2001). Excessive extrapolation and the allocation of 401(k) accounts to company stock. The Journal of Finance, 56(5), 1747-1764. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00388 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00388

Benartzi, S., & Thaler, R. H. (2001). Naïve diversification strategies in defined contribution saving plans. The American Economic Review, 91(1), 79-98. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.1.79 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.1.79

Brislin, R. W. (1970). Back-translation for cross-cultural research. Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology, 1(3), 185-216.

https://doi.org/10.1177/135910457000100301 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/135910457000100301

Coval, J. D., & Moskowitz, T. J. (1999). Home bias at home: Local equity preference in domestic portfolios. The Journal of Finance, 54, 2045-2073. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00181 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00181

De Bondt, W. F. M., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the stock market overreact? Journal of Finance, 4(3), 793-805.

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05004.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05004.x

De Bondt, W. F. M., & Thaler, R. H. (1987). Further evidence on investor overreaction and stock market seasonality. Journal of Finance, 42(3), 557-581. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04569.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04569.x

De Long, J. B., Shleifer, A., Summers, L. H., & Waldmann, R. J. (1990). Noise trader risk in financial markets. Journal of Political Economy, 98(4), 703-738. https://doi.org/10.1086/261703 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261703

Dwivedi, Y. K., Choudrie, J., & Brinkman, W. P. (2006). Development of a survey instrument to examine consumer adoption of broadband. Industrial Management & Data Systems, 106(5), 700-718. https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570610666458 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570610666458

Epaphra, M., & Kiwia, B. P. (2021). Financial literacy and participation in the financial markets in Tanzania: An application of the logit regression model. Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences, 14(1), 13. https://doi.org/10.4102/jef.v14i1.545 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/jef.v14i1.545

Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.x

Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. (1977). Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3, 552-564. https://doi.org/10.1037//0096-1523.3.4.552 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1037//0096-1523.3.4.552

French, K. R., & Poterba, J. M. (1991). Investor diversification and international equity markets. American Economic Review, 81, 222-226. https://doi.org/10.3386/w3609 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w3609

Gervais, S., & Odean, T. (2001). Learning to be overconfident. Review of Financial Studies, 14(1), 1-27. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/14.1.1 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/14.1.1

Glaser, M., & Weber, M. (2007a). Overconfidence and trading volume. The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, 32(1), 1-36.

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10713-007-0003-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10713-007-0003-3

Glaser, M., & Weber, M. (2007b). Why inexperienced investors do not learn: They do not know their past portfolio performance. Finance Research Letters, 4(4), 203-216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2007.10.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2007.10.001

Glaser, M., & Weber, M. (2009). Which past returns affect trading volume? Journal of Financial Markets, 12(1), 1-31.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2008.03.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2008.03.001

Graham, J. R., Harvey, C. R., & Huang, H. (2009). Investor competence, trading frequency, and home bias. Management Science, 55(7), 1094-1106. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1090.1009 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1090.1009

Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., Anderson, R. E., & Tatham, R. L. (2006). Multivariate data analysis. Pearson Prentice Hall.

Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor psychology and asset pricing. The Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00379 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00379

Hirshleifer, D., & Teoh, S. H. (2003). Herd behavior and cascading in capital markets: A review and synthesis. European Financial Management, 9(1), 25-66. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-036X.00207 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-036X.00207

Hong, H., Kubik, J. D., & Stein, J. C. (2004). Social interaction and stock market participation. The Journal of Finance, 59(1), 137-163. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00629.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00629.x

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 47(2), 263-291. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185

Kaustia, M., & Knüpfer, S. (2012). Peer performance and stock market entry. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 321-338.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.01.010 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.01.010

Kliger, D., & Kudryavtse, V. A. (2010). The availability heuristic and investors' reaction to company-specific events. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 11(1), 50-65. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427561003591116 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/15427561003591116

Kline, P. (2000). Handbook of psychological testing (2nd ed.). Routledge.

Koh, C. E., & Nam, K. T. (2005). Business use of the internet: A longitudinal study from a value chain perspective. Industrial Management & Data Systems, 105(1), 85-95.

https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570510575207 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570510575207

Kumar, S., & Goyal, N. (2015). Behavioural biases in investment decision making: A systematic literature review. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 7(1), 88-108.

https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-07-2014-0022 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-07-2014-0022

Lawshe, C. H. (1975). A quantitative approach to content validity. Personnel Psychology, 28(4), 563-575.

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-6570.1975.tb01393.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-6570.1975.tb01393.x

Malhotra, N. K. (2008). Marketing research: An applied orientation (5th ed.). Prentice-Hall of India.

Mrindoko, S. (2011, December 19). Stock exchange in Dar es Salaam still standing strong. Daily News.

Nicolosi, G., Peng, L., & Zhu, N. (2009). Do individual investors learn from their trading experience? Journal of Financial Markets, 12(2), 317-336. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2008.07.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2008.07.001

Nofsinger, J. R. (2005). Social mood and financial economics. The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 6, 144-160.

https://doi.org/10.1207/s15427579jpfm0603_4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1207/s15427579jpfm0603_4

Nofsinger, J. R., & Varma, A. (2007). How analytical is your financial advisor? Financial Services Review, 16(4), 245-258.

Odean, T. (1998a). Are investors reluctant to realize their losses? The Journal of Finance, 53(5), 1775-1798.

https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00072 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00072

Odean, T. (1998b). Volume, volatility, price, and profit when all traders are above average. The Journal of Finance, 53(6), 1887-1934. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00078 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00078

Odean, T. (1999). Do investors trade too much? The American Economic Review, 89, 1279-1298. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.5.1279 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.5.1279

Ricciardi, V. (2006). Research starting point for the new scholar: A unique perspective of behavioural finance. ICFAI Journal of Behavioral Finance, 3(3), 6-23. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.685685 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.685685

Samuelson, W., & Zeckhauser, R. (1988). Status quo bias in decision making. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1, 7-59.

https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00055564 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00055564

Saunders, M., Lewis, P., & Thornhill, A. (2009). Research methods for business students (5th ed.). Pearson Education.

Seru, A., Shumway, T., & Stoffman, N. (2010). Learning by trading. Review of Financial Studies, 23(2), 705-739.

https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhp060 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhp060

Shefrin, H. (2002). Beyond greed and fear: Understanding behavioural finance and the psychology of investing. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/0195161211.001.0001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/0195161211.001.0001

Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 777-790. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2327802

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05002.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05002.x

Shiller, R. J., & Pound, J. (1989). Survey evidence on diffusion of interest and information among investors. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 12(1), 47-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2681(89)90076-0 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2681(89)90076-0

Straub, D., Boudreau, M. C., & Gefen, D. (2004). Validation guidelines for IS positivist research. Communications of the Association for Information Systems, 13(24), 380-427.

https://doi.org/10.17705/1CAIS.01324 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17705/1CAIS.01324

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1973). Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. Cognitive Psychology, 5(2), 207-232. https://doi.org/10.1016/0010-0285(73)90033-9 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0010-0285(73)90033-9

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1991). Loss aversion in riskless choice: A reference-dependent model. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(4), 1039-1061. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937956 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2937956

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5, 297-323. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00122574 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00122574

Waweru, N. M., Munyoki, E., & Uliana, E. (2008). The effects of behavioural factors in investment decision-making: A survey of institutional investors operating at the Nairobi Stock Exchange. International Journal of Business and Emerging Markets, 1(1), 24-41. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJBEM.2008.019243 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJBEM.2008.019243

Wee, Y. S., & Quazi, H. A. (2005). Development and validation of critical factors of environmental management. Industrial Management & Data Systems, 105(1), 96-114.

https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570510575216 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/02635570510575216

Downloads

Publicado

2024-12-14

Como Citar

Komba, G. V. (2024). Behavioural Biases Scale for Retail Investors’ Trading Behaviour. African Journal of Empirical Research, 5(4), 2014–2030. https://doi.org/10.51867/ajernet.5.4.168

Edição

Secção

Articles